In handicap races the better the horse the higher the weight it will have to carry. If you combine this with the fact that the more recent the form the more reliable it is then you can come up with a simple method of finding winners.

The first stage is to select any handicap races with 8 or more runners. I would avoid low grade races, Class 6 or 7 as well as amateur and apprentice races. Needless to say because of the rules for this system you would not consider maiden races.

Having found a suitable race look down the field and select the horse with the highest weight in the race that won last time out providing this is not its first race of the season.

If there are more than two other horses in the race that won last time out or there are no last time out winners in the race there is no bet.

Check the details of the qualifying horse’s last race. If the going is significantly different to that race, i.e. it won in the soft and today’s going is firm then no bet unless the horse has won on that going in the past..

If the distance is significantly shorter or longer than the last race no bet. (In a sprint 1 furlong longer or shorter, in other races 2 furlong difference).

If the last race was on a different surface i.e. fibre sand and this race is on turf or visa versa no bet.

If the race is at Southwell ONLY bet if the last win was at the same course.

This is basically a simple system but it should produce a reasonable percentage of winners.